10xSharp

Chicago vs New EnglandMLS 2026

SUN, SEP 13Soldier Field
9:30 PMNOT STARTED
48%25% draw27%
Goals valueUnder 3.25First goalChicago1H total cardsOver 1.5

Standings & Form · MLS 2026

New England sit three places above Chicago in the table despite holding only a one-point lead, and the gap flatters the visitors. Chicago's home record of 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses is far stronger than New England's away return of 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, so the venue tilts the matchup toward the hosts.

ChicagoChicago10th
39 pts · 11-6-6GD +11 · 44:33
Home 7-1-3GF:GA 21:12
Last 6 · all comps
League form · 10 pts · 10th
New EnglandNew England7th
40 pts · 12-4-8GD +9 · 39:30
Away 4-2-6GF:GA 17:19
Last 6 · all comps
League form · 10 pts · 9th

Both sides arrive on 10 points from their last six league matches, but the shape of that form differs sharply. Chicago are unbeaten in six with four draws and two wins, while New England have three wins, one draw and two losses, so the hosts are harder to beat right now but the visitors have won more often.

Scoring Profile

SEASON 2026 · CHI 23 / NE 24 GP
CHINE· Season averages, home/away splits & recent scoring

CHI play at home, NE away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.

Attack

Chicago score 1.9 goals per home match, while New England manage 1.4 per away match, giving the hosts a clear edge in attacking output at their own ground. Chicago's home scoring is exactly in line with their season average, whereas New England's away figure is below their overall 1.6 per game.

1.9Goals Scored · Season1.6
1.9Goals Scored · Season, Home/Away1.4
1.8Goals Scored · Last 52.0
2.0Goals Scored · Last 5, Home/Away2.0

Defense

Chicago concede just 1.1 goals per home match, the stronger defensive record of the two, while New England concede 1.6 per away match. New England's away defence is notably worse than their season average of 1.2 conceded per game, so the hosts look the more solid side at the back.

1.4Goals Conceded · Season1.2
1.1Goals Conceded · Season, Home/Away1.6
2.0Goals Conceded · Last 51.0
0.8Goals Conceded · Last 5, Home/Away1.2

Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — CHI 4 of 5, NE 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — CHI 3 of 5, NE 5 of 5.

Performance Metrics

SEASON 2026 · CHI 23 / NE 24 GP

Chicago average 4.96 shots on target per game compared to New England's 4.71, a marginal edge in testing the goalkeeper. New England see more of their shots blocked, 4.08 per game against Chicago's 3.13, so the hosts get their efforts through more often.

Attempts / G
NOT PROVIDED FOR THIS LEAGUE
4.96Shots On / G4.71
3Blocked / G2.04
3.13Shots Off / G4.08
Shooting Efficiency
NOT PROVIDED FOR THIS LEAGUE
6Clean Sheets5
48%Win %50%
26%Loss %33%

Goals & Timing

SEASON 2026 · CHI 23 / NE 24 GP

Chicago are most dangerous between minutes 61 and 75, scoring 23% of their goals in that window, while New England peak later, with 31% of their goals coming in the final 15 minutes. Defensively, Chicago are most vulnerable after the 76th minute, conceding 33% of their goals there, and New England's weakest spell is just before half-time, where they concede 37%.

Chicago's own 1st goal avg 29 · New England's own 1st goal avg 42

Chicago
18%
18%
11%
11%
23%
18%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
New England
13%
8%
23%
15%
10%
31%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
Full match · Scored
Chicago 44New England 39

Goal Lines · Season 2026

CHINE· Share of each team's matches over the line

Chicago's matches this season have gone over 2.5 goals in 74% of cases, and New England's in 67%, so both sides produce high-scoring games. At home, Chicago's over 2.5 rate is 73%, while New England's away matches hit 75%, and both teams have failed to score in very few matches, Chicago in 4% and New England in 21% overall.

Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals

96%Over 0.596%
87%Over 1.579%
74%Over 2.567%
39%Over 3.525%
22%Over 4.513%
9%Over 5.54%

CHI 23 GP · NE 24 GP

3.35Combined Goals / G · FT · Season2.88

League average 3.20 goals per match

Team Record

4%Failed to Score21%
57%Attacking Share57%

Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.

Clean Sheets · CHI Home / NE Away
36%8%
44%33%
35%50%
2.3pp16.7pp
4.3pp8.3pp
4.3pp16.7pp

Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %

Match Result

DRAW 25% · 3.98

CHI 48%2.043.6127% NE

Total Goals

(3.25)

OVER 48%2.051.8852% UNDER

First Team To Score

NO GOAL 4% · 22.87

CHI 55%1.782.4141% NE

Match Forecast · Over/Under 3.25

42%
Model Probability
48%
Implied Probability

Based on Chicago's 11 home games and New England's 12 away games this season

The total goals market prices the over at 48% for the 3.25 line, while our model puts the probability at 42%. Our read sits about 6 percentage points below the market's, a modest gap that suggests the market sees slightly more goals than our season-based estimate.

The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.

Match Trends

  1. 01Draw seems to be a common result for Chicago lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
  2. 02In their last 5 MLS matches, Chicago have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while New England have averaged 1.2 cards.
  3. 03In their last 10 MLS matches, Chicago have been awarded an average of 3.4 corners per match, while New England have averaged 5.5 corners.
  4. 04In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Chicago conceded on average 2.3 goals per match while New England conceded on average 1.3 goals per match.
  5. 05In their last 5 MLS matches, Chicago have received an average of 1.6 cards per match, while New England have averaged 1.8 cards.
  6. 06Chances are good to see a goal from Chicago within the first half. They have averaged 0.9 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.

Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice

Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures

About The Match

Chicago host New England in a meeting of two sides separated by a single point in the table, but the home team's recent form is built on draws while the visitors arrive off a win. Chicago are unbeaten in their last six league matches yet have drawn four of them, and New England's away record is the more volatile of the two. The market prices Chicago as the likelier winner at 48%, with the draw at 25% and New England at 27%. The key uncertainty is whether Chicago's solid home defence, conceding 1.1 goals per home match, can contain a New England side that has scored in every one of its last five away games.

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

1
NE wins
7
draws
2
CHI wins

These clubs have drawn 7 of their last 10 meetings, with Chicago winning 2 and New England 1, and the average of 3.2 goals per meeting points to open games. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, so a repeat of the draw-heavy pattern would not be a surprise.