Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Vancouver sit 2nd with 46 points and a home record of 9 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, while Austin are 26th with 26 points and just 2 wins from 12 away matches. The gap is even starker at home versus away: Vancouver's home goal difference is +22, Austin's away is -17. This is a genuine mismatch on paper, and the venue split only widens it.
Vancouver2nd
Austin26thVancouver have taken 12 points from their last six league matches, winning four, while Austin have 9 points from the same window with two wins and three draws. Vancouver's form rank is 4th in the league, Austin's 13th. The gap is real but not enormous, and Austin's recent draws suggest they are harder to beat than their table position implies.
Scoring Profile
SEASON 2026 · VAN 23 / ATX 24 GPVAN play at home, ATX away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.
Attack
Vancouver score 2.4 goals per home match, while Austin manage just 1.2 away. Vancouver's home attacking share is 77.5% of total goals in their games, Austin's away share is 31.1%. The home side carries a clear and substantial edge in attacking output.
Defense
Vancouver concede 0.7 goals per home match, Austin concede 2.6 away. Vancouver have kept a clean sheet in 53.85% of home games, Austin have none away. The defensive gap is even wider than the attacking one, and it points firmly toward a comfortable Vancouver win.
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — VAN 4 of 5, ATX 4 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — VAN 4 of 5, ATX 3 of 5.
Performance Metrics
SEASON 2026 · VAN 23 / ATX 24 GPVancouver average 5.96 shots on target per game, Austin just 3.42. Vancouver also see 2.26 shots blocked per game against Austin's 1.38. Vancouver work the opposing goalkeeper far harder and force more defensive blocks, a direct reflection of their attacking dominance.
Goals & Timing
SEASON 2026 · VAN 23 / ATX 24 GPVancouver are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, scoring 23% of their goals there, while Austin are most vulnerable in the same period, conceding 44% of their goals after the 76th minute. Austin also score 43% of their goals in that window, so the late stages could be the most open part of the match.
Vancouver's own 1st goal avg 32′ · Austin's own 1st goal avg 40′
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Vancouver's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 61.54% of cases, Austin's away matches in 91.67%. Austin's away games average 3.75 combined goals, Vancouver's home games 3.08. Both teams' matches lean toward goals, but Austin's away record is the stronger over signal.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
VAN 23 GP · ATX 24 GP
League average 3.20 goals per match
Team Record
Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %
Match Result
Total Goals
(3.25)
First Team To Score
Match Forecast · Over/Under 3.25
Based on Vancouver's 13 home games and Austin's 12 away games this season
The total-goals market prices the over at 51.2% for a line of 3.25 goals. Our model puts the probability at 56.0%, a difference of about 4.8 percentage points in favour of the over. That is a modest edge, not a strong signal.
The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.
Match Trends
- 01Vancouver have conceded a total of only 21 goals, which is the least in the MLS this season.
- 02Draw seems to be a common result for Austin lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
- 03In their last 5 MLS matches, Vancouver have received an average of 1.8 cards per match, while Austin have averaged 1.2 cards.
- 04In their last 5 MLS matches, Vancouver have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Austin have averaged 0.2 cards.
- 05Chances are good to see a goal from Vancouver within the first half. They have averaged 1.2 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
- 06In the last 23 matches of the MLS, Vancouver conceded on average 0.9 goals per match while Austin conceded on average 1.7 goals per match.
- 07In their last 20 MLS matches, Vancouver have been awarded an average of 5.8 corners per match, while Austin have averaged 4.3 corners.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Vancouver sit 2nd with 46 points and a home record of 9 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, while Austin are 26th with 26 points and just 2 wins from 12 away matches. The gap is even starker at home versus away: Vancouver's home goal difference is +22, Austin's away is -17. This is a genuine mismatch on paper, and the venue split only widens it.
Vancouver2ndAustin26thVancouver have taken 12 points from their last six league matches, winning four, while Austin have 9 points from the same window with two wins and three draws. Vancouver's form rank is 4th in the league, Austin's 13th. The gap is real but not enormous, and Austin's recent draws suggest they are harder to beat than their table position implies.
Scoring Profile
SEASON 2026 · VAN 23 / ATX 24 GPVAN play at home, ATX away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.
Attack
Vancouver score 2.4 goals per home match, while Austin manage just 1.2 away. Vancouver's home attacking share is 77.5% of total goals in their games, Austin's away share is 31.1%. The home side carries a clear and substantial edge in attacking output.
Defense
Vancouver concede 0.7 goals per home match, Austin concede 2.6 away. Vancouver have kept a clean sheet in 53.85% of home games, Austin have none away. The defensive gap is even wider than the attacking one, and it points firmly toward a comfortable Vancouver win.
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — VAN 4 of 5, ATX 4 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — VAN 4 of 5, ATX 3 of 5.
Performance Metrics
SEASON 2026 · VAN 23 / ATX 24 GPVancouver average 5.96 shots on target per game, Austin just 3.42. Vancouver also see 2.26 shots blocked per game against Austin's 1.38. Vancouver work the opposing goalkeeper far harder and force more defensive blocks, a direct reflection of their attacking dominance.
Goals & Timing
SEASON 2026 · VAN 23 / ATX 24 GPVancouver are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, scoring 23% of their goals there, while Austin are most vulnerable in the same period, conceding 44% of their goals after the 76th minute. Austin also score 43% of their goals in that window, so the late stages could be the most open part of the match.
Vancouver's own 1st goal avg 32′ · Austin's own 1st goal avg 40′
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Vancouver's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 61.54% of cases, Austin's away matches in 91.67%. Austin's away games average 3.75 combined goals, Vancouver's home games 3.08. Both teams' matches lean toward goals, but Austin's away record is the stronger over signal.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
VAN 23 GP · ATX 24 GP
League average 3.20 goals per match
Team Record
Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %
Match Result
DRAW 14% · 6.64
Total Goals
(3.25)
First Team To Score
NO GOAL 3% · 29.06
Match Forecast · Over/Under 3.25
Based on Vancouver's 13 home games and Austin's 12 away games this season
The total-goals market prices the over at 51.2% for a line of 3.25 goals. Our model puts the probability at 56.0%, a difference of about 4.8 percentage points in favour of the over. That is a modest edge, not a strong signal.
The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.
Match Trends
- 01Vancouver have conceded a total of only 21 goals, which is the least in the MLS this season.
- 02Draw seems to be a common result for Austin lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
- 03In their last 5 MLS matches, Vancouver have received an average of 1.8 cards per match, while Austin have averaged 1.2 cards.
- 04In their last 5 MLS matches, Vancouver have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Austin have averaged 0.2 cards.
- 05Chances are good to see a goal from Vancouver within the first half. They have averaged 1.2 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
- 06In the last 23 matches of the MLS, Vancouver conceded on average 0.9 goals per match while Austin conceded on average 1.7 goals per match.
- 07In their last 20 MLS matches, Vancouver have been awarded an average of 5.8 corners per match, while Austin have averaged 4.3 corners.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures
About The Match
Vancouver arrive as the market's clear favourite and the table backs that up, but the real edge is at home, where they have scored 31 goals in 13 matches and conceded just 9. Austin's away record is the mirror image: 14 scored and 31 conceded in 12 road games, with no clean sheets away all season. The market prices Vancouver at 76% to win, and the total-goals market leans slightly over at 3.25. The key uncertainty is whether Austin's recent unbeaten run of three matches, built mostly on draws, can hold against a Vancouver side that has won three of its last six and scored 13 goals in that span.
Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Vancouver have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, with Austin winning just once and three draws. At this venue, Vancouver have won 4 of 5 meetings and never lost, outscoring Austin 11-3. History strongly favours Vancouver, especially at home.