Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Houston sit 4th with 43 points and a strong away record of 5 wins from 12 road games, while San Jose are 10th with 38 points and a home record of just 4 wins from 11. The table gap is real but the venue split flatters San Jose: their home goal difference is exactly level at 0, while Houston's away goal difference is -2, so the hosts' home advantage is thinner than their overall position suggests.
San Jose10th
Houston4thHouston are in far better shape, taking 11 points from their last six league games to San Jose's 5, with a form rank of 9th against San Jose's 23rd. San Jose's last six show one win, two draws and three defeats, and their home form is even worse, winless in at least five at this venue, so the visitors' momentum is a real signal rather than noise.
Scoring Profile
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSJ play at home, HOU away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.
Attack
San Jose score 1.7 goals per home match, while Houston manage 1.4 away, giving the hosts a narrow edge on raw output. But San Jose's recent home scoring has collapsed to 0.8 goals per game in their last five at this venue, so Houston's steadier 1.2 away average looks the more dependable attacking threat.
Defense
Houston concede just 1.6 goals per away match, while San Jose concede 1.7 at home, so the visitors are marginally tighter in their relevant venue. The gap widens sharply in recent form: Houston have conceded only 0.4 goals per away game in their last five, while San Jose have shipped 3.0 per home game, making Houston the clear defensive pick.
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — SJ 5 of 5, HOU 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — SJ 4 of 5, HOU 5 of 5.
Performance Metrics
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSan Jose put more shots on target per game, 5.17 to Houston's 4.21, but Houston block more shots, 2.54 per game to San Jose's 2.0. The hosts work the goalkeeper harder, yet Houston's higher blocked-shot rate suggests they protect their goal better, which aligns with their superior clean-sheet record.
Goals & Timing
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSan Jose are most dangerous in the opening 15 minutes, scoring 26% of their goals there, while Houston peak just before half-time with 28% in the 31-45 band. Both sides are most vulnerable late, conceding 28% and 33% respectively in the final 15 minutes, so the game may open up after the hour mark.
San Jose's own 1st goal avg 27′ · Houston's own 1st goal avg 50′
Goal Lines · Season 2026
San Jose's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 63.6% of cases this season, while Houston's away matches have done so in only 41.7%, a clear contrast in goal environments. San Jose's home games average 3.45 combined goals, Houston's away games 3.0, and the hosts have failed to score in just 18.2% of home matches, so the over leans on San Jose's leaky home defence rather than Houston's attack.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
SJ 24 GP · HOU 24 GP
League average 3.21 goals per match
Team Record
Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %
Match Result
Total Goals
(2.75)
First Team To Score
Match Forecast · Over/Under 2.75
Based on San Jose's 11 home games and Houston's 12 away games this season
The total goals market is priced at 2.75, with the market implying a 53% chance of over. Our model, built from each team's whole-season goal record at this venue, puts the over at 48%, about 5 percentage points lower than the market's read.
The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.
Match Trends
- 01Draw seems to be a common result for San Jose lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
- 02In the last 10 matches of the MLS, San Jose conceded on average 2.2 goals per match while Houston conceded on average 0.4 goals per match.
- 03In their last 24 MLS matches, San Jose have been awarded an average of 6.2 corners per match, while Houston have averaged 4.2 corners.
- 04In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have received an average of 2.6 cards per match, while Houston have averaged 2 cards.
- 05Chances are good to see a goal from San Jose within the first half. They have averaged 0.9 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
- 06In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have received an average of 0.8 cards in the first half per match, while Houston have averaged 0.6 cards.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Houston sit 4th with 43 points and a strong away record of 5 wins from 12 road games, while San Jose are 10th with 38 points and a home record of just 4 wins from 11. The table gap is real but the venue split flatters San Jose: their home goal difference is exactly level at 0, while Houston's away goal difference is -2, so the hosts' home advantage is thinner than their overall position suggests.
San Jose10thHouston4thHouston are in far better shape, taking 11 points from their last six league games to San Jose's 5, with a form rank of 9th against San Jose's 23rd. San Jose's last six show one win, two draws and three defeats, and their home form is even worse, winless in at least five at this venue, so the visitors' momentum is a real signal rather than noise.
Scoring Profile
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSJ play at home, HOU away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.
Attack
San Jose score 1.7 goals per home match, while Houston manage 1.4 away, giving the hosts a narrow edge on raw output. But San Jose's recent home scoring has collapsed to 0.8 goals per game in their last five at this venue, so Houston's steadier 1.2 away average looks the more dependable attacking threat.
Defense
Houston concede just 1.6 goals per away match, while San Jose concede 1.7 at home, so the visitors are marginally tighter in their relevant venue. The gap widens sharply in recent form: Houston have conceded only 0.4 goals per away game in their last five, while San Jose have shipped 3.0 per home game, making Houston the clear defensive pick.
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — SJ 5 of 5, HOU 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — SJ 4 of 5, HOU 5 of 5.
Performance Metrics
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSan Jose put more shots on target per game, 5.17 to Houston's 4.21, but Houston block more shots, 2.54 per game to San Jose's 2.0. The hosts work the goalkeeper harder, yet Houston's higher blocked-shot rate suggests they protect their goal better, which aligns with their superior clean-sheet record.
Goals & Timing
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSan Jose are most dangerous in the opening 15 minutes, scoring 26% of their goals there, while Houston peak just before half-time with 28% in the 31-45 band. Both sides are most vulnerable late, conceding 28% and 33% respectively in the final 15 minutes, so the game may open up after the hour mark.
San Jose's own 1st goal avg 27′ · Houston's own 1st goal avg 50′
Goal Lines · Season 2026
San Jose's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 63.6% of cases this season, while Houston's away matches have done so in only 41.7%, a clear contrast in goal environments. San Jose's home games average 3.45 combined goals, Houston's away games 3.0, and the hosts have failed to score in just 18.2% of home matches, so the over leans on San Jose's leaky home defence rather than Houston's attack.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
SJ 24 GP · HOU 24 GP
League average 3.21 goals per match
Team Record
Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %
Match Result
DRAW 27% · 3.66
Total Goals
(2.75)
First Team To Score
NO GOAL 6% · 17.59
Match Forecast · Over/Under 2.75
Based on San Jose's 11 home games and Houston's 12 away games this season
The total goals market is priced at 2.75, with the market implying a 53% chance of over. Our model, built from each team's whole-season goal record at this venue, puts the over at 48%, about 5 percentage points lower than the market's read.
The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.
Match Trends
- 01Draw seems to be a common result for San Jose lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
- 02In the last 10 matches of the MLS, San Jose conceded on average 2.2 goals per match while Houston conceded on average 0.4 goals per match.
- 03In their last 24 MLS matches, San Jose have been awarded an average of 6.2 corners per match, while Houston have averaged 4.2 corners.
- 04In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have received an average of 2.6 cards per match, while Houston have averaged 2 cards.
- 05Chances are good to see a goal from San Jose within the first half. They have averaged 0.9 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
- 06In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have received an average of 0.8 cards in the first half per match, while Houston have averaged 0.6 cards.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures
About The Match
San Jose's home form is the story here: they have not won in their last five matches at this venue, conceding 15 goals in that run, while Houston arrive with the best away form rank in the league and four clean sheets in their last five road games. The market still prices San Jose as a narrow favourite at 40%, but Houston's 34% is close enough that the venue split, not the table, is the real gap. Houston have taken 11 points from their last six league games to San Jose's 5, and the key uncertainty is whether San Jose's 26% of goals in the opening 15 minutes can unsettle a Houston side that concedes just 0.4 goals per away match recently.
Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Houston have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the last 10 meetings to San Jose's 2, with 3 draws and an average of 3.3 goals per game. At this ground, the record is closer: 1 San Jose win, 2 Houston wins and 2 draws in the 5 meetings, so history gives Houston a slight edge but no decisive pattern.