Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Saint Louis sit 11th with 38 points, nine clear of 20th-placed Minnesota, but the gap is built almost entirely at home. Saint Louis have taken 1.91 points per home match against Minnesota's 1.42 away, a real but not enormous edge.
Saint Louis11th
Minnesota20thSaint Louis are the form side by a distance, unbeaten in six with 12 points from their last six matches while Minnesota have taken just 5. The home side's run is built on draws as much as wins, though, with three of those six ending level.
Scoring Profile
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSTL play at home, MIN away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.
Attack
Both sides score at a similar rate in their relevant venue, with Saint Louis averaging 1.9 goals per home match and Minnesota 1.9 away. The visitors' away scoring is more impressive given they have played one more away match than Saint Louis have at home.
Defense
Saint Louis are clearly the more solid side defensively, conceding 1.3 goals per home match against Minnesota's 2.2 away. The visitors have kept just one clean sheet in their last four away matches, while Saint Louis have managed one in their last five at home.
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — STL 5 of 5, MIN 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — STL 5 of 5, MIN 4 of 5.
Performance Metrics
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPMinnesota work the opposing goalkeeper slightly harder, averaging 4.63 shots on target per game to Saint Louis's 4.54, but Saint Louis see fewer of their shots blocked, 1.92 per game against 1.71 for the visitors.
Goals & Timing
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSaint Louis are most dangerous just before half-time, scoring 24% of their goals between minutes 31-45, while Minnesota peak later, with 31% of their goals coming between minutes 61-75. The visitors are also vulnerable early, conceding 23% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes.
Saint Louis's own 1st goal avg 42′ · Minnesota's own 1st goal avg 48′
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Minnesota's away matches are the higher-scoring ones, with 83.33% going over 2.5 goals compared to 63.64% of Saint Louis's home matches. Both teams are more likely to see goals in the second half, with Saint Louis's matches producing 2+ goals after the break 72.73% of the time and Minnesota's 66.67%.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
STL 24 GP · MIN 24 GP
League average 3.21 goals per match
Team Record
Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %
Match Result
Total Goals
(3)
First Team To Score
Match Forecast · Over/Under 3
Based on Saint Louis's 11 home games and Minnesota's 12 away games this season
The total goals market is priced at 3.0, with the market giving a 50% chance of over. Our model, built on both teams' whole-season goal records at their relevant venues, puts the over at 62.5%, a difference of about 12.5 percentage points.
The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.
Match Trends
- 01Draw seems to be a common result for Saint Louis lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
- 02In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Saint Louis conceded on average 2 goals per match while Minnesota conceded on average 3.3 goals per match.
- 03In their last 5 MLS matches, Saint Louis have been awarded an average of 2.6 corners per match, while Minnesota have averaged 4.4 corners.
- 04In their last 5 MLS matches, Saint Louis have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while Minnesota have averaged 0.8 cards.
- 05In their last 5 MLS matches, Saint Louis have received an average of 2.8 cards per match, while Minnesota have averaged 2.2 cards.
- 06Chances are good to see a goal from Minnesota within the first half. They have averaged 0.5 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Saint Louis sit 11th with 38 points, nine clear of 20th-placed Minnesota, but the gap is built almost entirely at home. Saint Louis have taken 1.91 points per home match against Minnesota's 1.42 away, a real but not enormous edge.
Saint Louis11thMinnesota20thSaint Louis are the form side by a distance, unbeaten in six with 12 points from their last six matches while Minnesota have taken just 5. The home side's run is built on draws as much as wins, though, with three of those six ending level.
Scoring Profile
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSTL play at home, MIN away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.
Attack
Both sides score at a similar rate in their relevant venue, with Saint Louis averaging 1.9 goals per home match and Minnesota 1.9 away. The visitors' away scoring is more impressive given they have played one more away match than Saint Louis have at home.
Defense
Saint Louis are clearly the more solid side defensively, conceding 1.3 goals per home match against Minnesota's 2.2 away. The visitors have kept just one clean sheet in their last four away matches, while Saint Louis have managed one in their last five at home.
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — STL 5 of 5, MIN 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — STL 5 of 5, MIN 4 of 5.
Performance Metrics
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPMinnesota work the opposing goalkeeper slightly harder, averaging 4.63 shots on target per game to Saint Louis's 4.54, but Saint Louis see fewer of their shots blocked, 1.92 per game against 1.71 for the visitors.
Goals & Timing
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSaint Louis are most dangerous just before half-time, scoring 24% of their goals between minutes 31-45, while Minnesota peak later, with 31% of their goals coming between minutes 61-75. The visitors are also vulnerable early, conceding 23% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes.
Saint Louis's own 1st goal avg 42′ · Minnesota's own 1st goal avg 48′
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Minnesota's away matches are the higher-scoring ones, with 83.33% going over 2.5 goals compared to 63.64% of Saint Louis's home matches. Both teams are more likely to see goals in the second half, with Saint Louis's matches producing 2+ goals after the break 72.73% of the time and Minnesota's 66.67%.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
STL 24 GP · MIN 24 GP
League average 3.21 goals per match
Team Record
Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %
Match Result
DRAW 25% · 3.88
Total Goals
(3)
First Team To Score
NO GOAL 5% · 20.1
Match Forecast · Over/Under 3
Based on Saint Louis's 11 home games and Minnesota's 12 away games this season
The total goals market is priced at 3.0, with the market giving a 50% chance of over. Our model, built on both teams' whole-season goal records at their relevant venues, puts the over at 62.5%, a difference of about 12.5 percentage points.
The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.
Match Trends
- 01Draw seems to be a common result for Saint Louis lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
- 02In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Saint Louis conceded on average 2 goals per match while Minnesota conceded on average 3.3 goals per match.
- 03In their last 5 MLS matches, Saint Louis have been awarded an average of 2.6 corners per match, while Minnesota have averaged 4.4 corners.
- 04In their last 5 MLS matches, Saint Louis have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while Minnesota have averaged 0.8 cards.
- 05In their last 5 MLS matches, Saint Louis have received an average of 2.8 cards per match, while Minnesota have averaged 2.2 cards.
- 06Chances are good to see a goal from Minnesota within the first half. They have averaged 0.5 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures
About The Match
Saint Louis arrive unbeaten in their last six league matches and are the market's clear favourite, but Minnesota's away record and this fixture's history both point to goals. The home side have taken 12 points from their last six while Minnesota have managed just 5, yet the visitors have won six of the seven meetings between these clubs. The key uncertainty is whether Minnesota's leaky away defence, conceding 2.2 goals per away match, will undermine their strong head-to-head record.
Head-to-Head · LAST 7 MEETINGS
Minnesota have dominated this fixture, winning six of the seven meetings including the most recent one 2-1 at this ground. Saint Louis have not beaten Minnesota in their last five attempts, and the visitors have outscored them 17-7 across the seven matches.