10xSharp

LA Galaxy vs SeattleMLS 2026

SUN, SEP 13Dignity Health Sports Park
2:30 AMNOT STARTED

Standings & Form · MLS 2026

LA Galaxy sit three places above Seattle in the table, but the gap is thin: 29 points against 27, with both sides on seven wins. The home split flatters LA Galaxy slightly, as their 1.33 points per home game is only marginally better than Seattle's 1.09 points per away game.

LA GalaxyLA Galaxy21st
29 pts · 7-8-10GD -9 · 30:39
Home 4-4-4GF:GA 14:15
League form · 7 pts · 18th
SeattleSeattle24th
27 pts · 7-6-9GD -5 · 24:29
Away 3-3-5GF:GA 8:11
Last 6 · all comps
League form · 3 pts · 27th

LA Galaxy arrive in clearly better shape, having taken 7 points from their last six league matches compared to just 3 for Seattle. The visitors are winless in six, with three draws followed by three defeats, so the form gap is real rather than noise.

Scoring Profile

SEASON 2026 · LA 25 / SEA 22 GP
LASEA· Season averages, home/away splits & recent scoring

LA play at home, SEA away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.

Attack

LA Galaxy's home attack is modest, scoring 1.2 goals per home match, but that still dwarfs Seattle's away output of 0.7 goals per away game. Seattle have failed to score in 27% of their away matches this season, so the home side holds a clear edge in forward threat.

1.2Goals Scored · Season1.1
1.2Goals Scored · Season, Home/Away0.7
1.2Goals Scored · Last 50.8
0.8Goals Scored · Last 5, Home/Away0.6

Defense

Seattle's away defence is the stronger unit, conceding 1.0 goals per away match compared to LA Galaxy's 1.2 conceded per home game. The visitors also keep more clean sheets away from home, at 36% versus LA Galaxy's 25% at home.

1.6Goals Conceded · Season1.3
1.2Goals Conceded · Season, Home/Away1.0
1.8Goals Conceded · Last 51.4
1.4Goals Conceded · Last 5, Home/Away2.0

Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — LA 5 of 5, SEA 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — LA 5 of 5, SEA 4 of 5.

Performance Metrics

SEASON 2026 · LA 25 / SEA 22 GP

LA Galaxy work the opposing goalkeeper harder, averaging 5.04 shots on target per game to Seattle's 4.18, though Seattle see slightly more of their shots blocked at 2.64 per game against 2.6. The home side's greater accuracy is a real but narrow edge.

Attempts / G
NOT PROVIDED FOR THIS LEAGUE
5.04Shots On / G4.18
2.6Blocked / G2.64
3.16Shots Off / G4.05
Shooting Efficiency
NOT PROVIDED FOR THIS LEAGUE
4Clean Sheets6
28%Win %32%
40%Loss %41%

Goals & Timing

SEASON 2026 · LA 25 / SEA 22 GP

Both teams are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, with LA Galaxy scoring 30% of their goals between minutes 76 and 90 and Seattle 29% in the same window. Seattle are also most vulnerable late, conceding 38% of their goals in that period, which points to a potentially lively finish.

LA Galaxy's own 1st goal avg 44 · Seattle's own 1st goal avg 45

LA Galaxy
23%
13%
13%
17%
3%
30%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
Seattle
17%
21%
8%
17%
8%
29%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
Full match · Scored
LA Galaxy 30Seattle 24

Goal Lines · Season 2026

LASEA· Share of each team's matches over the line

LA Galaxy's matches have been far more open, with 64% of their games going over 2.5 goals this season compared to just 41% for Seattle. At home, LA Galaxy's over-2.5 rate drops to 58%, while Seattle's away matches have gone over 2.5 only 27% of the time, so the venue split points to a tighter game than the season averages suggest.

Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals

96%Over 0.591%
88%Over 1.568%
64%Over 2.541%
24%Over 3.523%
4%Over 4.514%
0%Over 5.55%

LA 25 GP · SEA 22 GP

2.76Combined Goals / G · FT · Season2.41

League average 3.21 goals per match

Team Record

16%Failed to Score27%
43%Attacking Share45%

Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.

Clean Sheets · LA Home / SEA Away
25%36%
24%18%
36%32%
10.9pp27.3pp
8.0pp4.5pp
4.0pp13.6pp

Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %

Match Result

DRAW 25% · 3.89

LA 43%2.273.1132% SEA

Total Goals

(3)

OVER 51%1.92249% UNDER

First Team To Score

NO GOAL 5% · 20.92

LA 52%1.92.2543% SEA

Match Forecast · Over/Under 3

14%
Model Probability
51%
Implied Probability

Based on LA Galaxy's 12 home games and Seattle's 11 away games this season

The total goals market prices over 3 goals at 51%, but our model sees far fewer goals, putting the probability at just 14%. That leaves our read about 37 percentage points below the market's, a substantial gap driven by Seattle's low-scoring away record.

The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.

Match Trends

  1. 01Draw seems to be a common result for Seattle lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
  2. 02In their last 5 MLS matches, LA Galaxy have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Seattle have averaged 0.2 cards.
  3. 03In their last 5 MLS matches, LA Galaxy have received an average of 2.6 cards per match, while Seattle have averaged 1.6 cards.
  4. 04In the last 3 matches of the MLS, LA Galaxy conceded on average 2.3 goals per match while Seattle conceded on average 1 goals per match.
  5. 05In their last 10 MLS matches, LA Galaxy have been awarded an average of 5.2 corners per match, while Seattle have averaged 4.2 corners.
  6. 06Chances are good to see a goal from LA Galaxy within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.

Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice

Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures

About The Match

LA Galaxy and Seattle meet with both sides stuck in the lower reaches of the table, but the home team's recent form gives them a modest edge. LA Galaxy have taken 7 points from their last six league matches while Seattle have managed just 3, and the visitors arrive winless in six. The key uncertainty is whether Seattle's tighter away defence, which concedes only 1.0 goals per away match, can frustrate a Galaxy attack that has scored just 1.2 goals per home game.