Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Colorado's table position is built almost entirely on home form: 8 wins and a +12 goal difference at home versus 2 wins and -12 away, while Montreal's away record is 2 wins and 9 losses with a -20 goal difference. The gap between 12th and 29th is real, but Colorado's home split flatters them and Montreal's away split is even worse than their overall standing suggests.
Colorado12th
Montreal29thColorado arrive in clearly better shape, taking 10 points from their last six league matches against Montreal's 5, though Colorado's latest result was a draw and Montreal's a loss. Colorado's home form rank is 3rd in the league, while Montreal's away form rank is 25th, so the recent signal is strong and venue-specific.
Scoring Profile
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPCOL play at home, MTL away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.
Attack
Colorado score 1.9 goals per home match against Montreal's 1.2 away, a clear edge in venue-specific output. Colorado's home attacking share is 70% of match goals, while Montreal's away share is just 30%, so the home side is far more likely to control the scoring.
Defense
Colorado concede just 0.8 goals per home match while Montreal concede 2.9 away, a gap of more than two goals per game. Colorado keep a clean sheet in 55% of home matches, Montreal in only 8% of away matches, making the home defense the most reliable unit in this fixture.
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches in those samples: COL 5 of 5, MTL 4 of 5.
Performance Metrics
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPMontreal actually put more shots on target per game, 4.96 to Colorado's 4.0, but Colorado block fewer shots and hold more possession at 55.5% to 47.4%. The shot volume edge is narrow and does not translate into goals, so it barely moves the projection.
Goals & Timing
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPBoth teams are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, with Colorado scoring 22% of their goals there and Montreal 23%, though Montreal are equally productive in the 31-45 minute band. Colorado also concede 31% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, so late goals are likely in both directions.
Colorado's own 1st goal avg 37′ · Montreal's own 1st goal avg 27′
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Montreal's matches are far more open: 67% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals against 46% for Colorado, and on the road that rises to 83%. Colorado's home matches are tighter, with only 36% going over 2.5, so the venue split creates a real tension in the totals picture.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
COL 24 GP · MTL 24 GP
League average 3.21 goals per match
Team Record
Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %
Match Result
Total Goals
(2.75)
First Team To Score
Match Forecast · Over/Under 2.75
Based on Colorado's 11 home games and Montreal's 12 away games this season
The market prices the total at 2.75 goals, with a 53% implied probability of the over. Our model puts the over at 55%, a marginal edge of about 2 percentage points toward more goals than the market expects.
The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.
Match Trends
- 01In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Colorado conceded on average 1.3 goals per match while Montreal conceded on average 3.6 goals per match.
- 02In their last 5 MLS matches, Colorado have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Montreal have averaged 1.2 cards.
- 03In their last 5 MLS matches, Colorado have received an average of 2.2 cards per match, while Montreal have averaged 2.8 cards.
- 04In their last 3 MLS matches, Colorado have been awarded an average of 4.6 corners per match, while Montreal have averaged 6 corners.
- 05Chances are good to see a goal from Colorado within the first half. They have averaged 0.5 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
- 06Colorado conceded 7 less goals than Montreal in the last 5 matches of the MLS this season.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Colorado's table position is built almost entirely on home form: 8 wins and a +12 goal difference at home versus 2 wins and -12 away, while Montreal's away record is 2 wins and 9 losses with a -20 goal difference. The gap between 12th and 29th is real, but Colorado's home split flatters them and Montreal's away split is even worse than their overall standing suggests.
Colorado12thMontreal29thColorado arrive in clearly better shape, taking 10 points from their last six league matches against Montreal's 5, though Colorado's latest result was a draw and Montreal's a loss. Colorado's home form rank is 3rd in the league, while Montreal's away form rank is 25th, so the recent signal is strong and venue-specific.
Scoring Profile
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPCOL play at home, MTL away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.
Attack
Colorado score 1.9 goals per home match against Montreal's 1.2 away, a clear edge in venue-specific output. Colorado's home attacking share is 70% of match goals, while Montreal's away share is just 30%, so the home side is far more likely to control the scoring.
Defense
Colorado concede just 0.8 goals per home match while Montreal concede 2.9 away, a gap of more than two goals per game. Colorado keep a clean sheet in 55% of home matches, Montreal in only 8% of away matches, making the home defense the most reliable unit in this fixture.
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches in those samples: COL 5 of 5, MTL 4 of 5.
Performance Metrics
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPMontreal actually put more shots on target per game, 4.96 to Colorado's 4.0, but Colorado block fewer shots and hold more possession at 55.5% to 47.4%. The shot volume edge is narrow and does not translate into goals, so it barely moves the projection.
Goals & Timing
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPBoth teams are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, with Colorado scoring 22% of their goals there and Montreal 23%, though Montreal are equally productive in the 31-45 minute band. Colorado also concede 31% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, so late goals are likely in both directions.
Colorado's own 1st goal avg 37′ · Montreal's own 1st goal avg 27′
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Montreal's matches are far more open: 67% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals against 46% for Colorado, and on the road that rises to 83%. Colorado's home matches are tighter, with only 36% going over 2.5, so the venue split creates a real tension in the totals picture.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
COL 24 GP · MTL 24 GP
League average 3.21 goals per match
Team Record
Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %
Match Result
DRAW 23% · 4.28
Total Goals
(2.75)
First Team To Score
NO GOAL 5% · 18.24
Match Forecast · Over/Under 2.75
Based on Colorado's 11 home games and Montreal's 12 away games this season
The market prices the total at 2.75 goals, with a 53% implied probability of the over. Our model puts the over at 55%, a marginal edge of about 2 percentage points toward more goals than the market expects.
The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.
Match Trends
- 01In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Colorado conceded on average 1.3 goals per match while Montreal conceded on average 3.6 goals per match.
- 02In their last 5 MLS matches, Colorado have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Montreal have averaged 1.2 cards.
- 03In their last 5 MLS matches, Colorado have received an average of 2.2 cards per match, while Montreal have averaged 2.8 cards.
- 04In their last 3 MLS matches, Colorado have been awarded an average of 4.6 corners per match, while Montreal have averaged 6 corners.
- 05Chances are good to see a goal from Colorado within the first half. They have averaged 0.5 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
- 06Colorado conceded 7 less goals than Montreal in the last 5 matches of the MLS this season.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures
About The Match
Colorado's home form is the strongest signal in this fixture: they are unbeaten in their last six at home with five wins and five clean sheets, while Montreal arrive winless in five and have conceded 12 goals across their last five away matches. The market prices Colorado at 58% to win, and the totals model sees a mild lean to the over at 2.75 goals, with our read at 55% against the market's 53%. The key uncertainty is whether Montreal's attack, which has scored in four of their last five, can trouble a Colorado defense that has kept five clean sheets in six home games.
Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Colorado have dominated this matchup, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings to Montreal's 2, and at this venue they have won 5 of 6 with no draws. The last meeting was a 4-1 Colorado win, and the average of 5.0 total goals across the series points to open games.